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	<title>Red Sox Baseball News &#124; Boston Red Sox &#187; Matsuzaka</title>
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		<title>Red Sox Baseball &#8211; Matsuzaka</title>
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		<pubDate>Tue, 23 Jun 2009 23:34:21 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>RedSoxFan</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Featured]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Matsuzaka]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[What we’ve seen at his best is a guy who throws in the low 90s and who has decent auxiliary stuff. We have seen that, in common with pitchers in his basic category, he needs to hit spots to be effective. He has got to locate that fastball on the corners. If he can do that, everything else has a chance to work.]]></description>
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<span style="color: #000000;">May we agree on one thing?<br />
</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #000000;">Daisuke Matsuzaka was not worth $103 million.</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #000000;">There&#8217;s a lot of financial craziness out there in modern professional sport, but we have not yet reached the point where a third or fourth (and in this case, fifth) starter is worth a total investment of $103 million for six years.</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #000000;"> </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #000000;">There&#8217;s really not going to be any kind of debate about this, is there?</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #000000;">The issue before us as Dice-K begins his open-ended stay in the Japanese Pitcher Witness Protection Program, otherwise known as the disabled list, is whether the bigger story is his almost complete collapse or that his absence is actually a blessing as the Red Sox attempt to seize control of both the division and the entire American League.</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #000000;"> </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #000000;">We can’t expect to get the straight skinny from the Red Sox. They will insist the DL thing is legit, that their honest belief is that Dice-K’s troubles are strictly medical. We may hear more about the evils of the World Baseball Classic. They have too much at stake to say otherwise.</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #000000;"> </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #000000;">But it’s pretty obvious something else is going on. Dice-K has made a couple of veiled allusions to an issue outside of baseball. If that’s the case, he should be given as much time as he needs to address the situation. It’s not as if he’ll be missed.</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #000000;"> </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #000000;">No one is going to miss a starter with an ERA of 8.23 and a WHIP (walks and hits per innings pitched) of 2.20. No one is going to miss someone against whom opponents are batting .378 with an OPS (on-base percentage plus slugging percentage) of 1.091. No one is going to miss someone who routinely gives up four- or five-run leads.</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #000000;"> </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #000000;">The fact is the Red Sox are uniquely prepared to replace Mr. Matsuzaka. We’ll see the first option Thursday night when John Smoltz makes his Red Sox debut in Washington. A second option is already in place. His name is Justin Masterson. Option three is down there in Pawtucket, where an increasingly restless Clay Buchholz has proved to be too good for Triple A.</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #000000;"> </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #000000;">Of course, no one in power will say the team is already better off knowing that Dice-K will not be pitching for the foreseeable future. But we all know that happens to be the case.</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #000000;"> </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #000000;">The goal now is to restore him to, well, what, exactly?</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #000000;"> </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #000000;">He’s not what he was supposed to be; this much we know. He was billed as a superpitcher, a guy who threw in the mid-to-high 90s and who augmented this uberheater with as many as five auxiliary pitches, all, as they say, in the “plus’’ category. (We won’t go anywhere near that gyroball nonsense.)</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #000000;"> </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #000000;">We’ve never seen that guy.</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #000000;"> </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #000000;">What we’ve seen at his best is a guy who throws in the low 90s and who has decent auxiliary stuff. We have seen that, in common with pitchers in his basic category, he needs to hit spots to be effective. He has got to locate that fastball on the corners. If he can do that, everything else has a chance to work.</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #000000;"> </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #000000;">In other words, he’s like a hundred other guys.</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #000000;"> </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #000000;">We’ve also found him to be someone who wants to be too fine. If there is a Japanese equivalent of the phrase “trust your stuff,’’ he doesn’t subscribe to the theory. Whatever “nibbler’’ is in Japanese, that’s him. Or, at least, that was him in 2008, when he led the league in lowest opponents’ batting average (.211) and led the league in walks (94), which was hard to do, considering that 38 American League pitchers threw more innings than Dice-K’s 167 2/3.</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #000000;"> </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #000000;">This year he’s walking substantially fewer, but now everyone’s hitting him. He needs to get this thing calibrated.</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #000000;"> </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #000000;">Someone might look at what he did last year and wonder why anyone could complain. After all, he was 18-3. Well, there’s 18-3 and there’s 18-3, and to construct his 18-3 he pitched well, but not that well. He enjoyed hefty run support (5.7 runs per game) and he was amazingly &#8211; or should I say cleverly &#8211; coddled by Terry Francona and pitching coach John Farrell. In one-third of his wins he pitched five innings.</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #000000;"> </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #000000;">Sports Illustrated’s Tom Verducci pointed out earlier this year there is an eerie pattern of Japanese pitchers losing it during their third year in America. At the time, the Sox rejected this as a reason for Dice-K’s problems, saying he was physically sound and citing the fact he was 26 when they signed him. With the exception of Hideo Nomo, the Japanese pitchers who broke down did so in their early 30s. They insisted Dice-K was physically sound. But now he’s going on the DL, citing shoulder woes? Something doesn’t add up.</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #000000;"> </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #000000;">No one can say his first two years represented failure. He struck out 201 in 2007, and he pitched three or four outstanding games. But at no point did he resemble an ace. Josh Beckett in 2007, that’s an ace. Josh Beckett now. That’s an ace. Jon Lester in 2008, that’s an ace. Daisuke Matsuzaka at his best has been a solid No. 3, with occasional flashes of being a No. 2.</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #000000;"> </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #000000;">Understand that over half the $103 million John Henry paid to obtain Dice-K’s services was a posting fee to his old club. So the just under $9 million he gets in actual salary might be something approximating market value for a pitcher of Dice-K’s caliber.</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #000000;"> </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #000000;">But that’s not the way he was billed.</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #000000;"> </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #000000;">He was supposed to be one of the elite pitchers in the world. He’s not. When he’s right, he’s an OK pitcher. When he’s not right, and right now he’s far from right, he’s a massive liability.</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #000000;"> </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #000000;">No longer. He has been made redundant, and the 2009 Boston Red Sox aren’t going to miss him.</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #000000;"> </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #000000;">Bob Ryan is a Globe columnist and host of Globe 10.0 on Boston.com. He can be reached at ryan@globe.com.</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #000000;"><br />
</span></p>
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